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TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 3:10 PM ECT THU JUL 01 2021
…TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST TO STAY CLEAR OF THE AREA…
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES CONTINUES TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA, WHICH WAS
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IN 24 HOURS AND IMPACT PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN.
THERE IS GROWING CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM
ELSA WILL PASS A SAFE DISTANCE, OVER 200 MILES, AWAY FROM THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND SPARE THE AREA ANY SUSTAINED STORMFORCE WINDS AND MOST OF THE OTHER ASSOCIATED STORM HAZARDS.
THUS, THE GENERAL THREAT LEVELS, ESPECIALLY WITH RESPECT TO WIND,
REMAIN, AT THIS TIME, LITTLE TO NONE, FOR THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THEREFORE, NO IMMEDIATE PREPARATIONS ARE REQUIRED. NOTWITHSTANDING, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS PREPARED AND MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY.
AT 1800 UTC OR 2 PM ECT, TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST OR ABOUT 694 NAUTICAL MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT 28 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AROUND 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL MOST LIKELY PASS THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FRIDAY MORNING.
PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, AT THIS TIME, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS PREPARED, FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AN UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AROUND 11 AM TOMORROW OR SOONER, IF
REQUIRED. STAY TUNED TO UPDATES COMING OUT OF THE MET OFFICE VIA
ANTIGUAMET.COM AND FACEBOOK.COM/ABMETSERVICE
FORECASTER
DALE DESTIN
