WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM PETER ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 5:10 AM ECT SUN, SEP 19, 2021
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES SIXTEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON AS TROPICAL STORM PETER FORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA WITH NO WATCHES AND WARNINGS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.
BASED ON THE LATEST INFORMATION AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM PETER POSES LITTLE THREAT FROM TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, RESIDENTS AND INTEREST IN THESE ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
AT 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PETER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST OR APPROXIMATELY 630 EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND APPROXIMATELY 830 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BVI.
PETER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H) THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING. A TURN BACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BY LATE MONDAY AND ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PETER IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND AS A RESULT, NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. WHILE NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED, OUTER BANDS FROM PETER COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER POTIONS OF THE LEEWARDS BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY; HENCE, RESIDENT IN LOW LYING A FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD GUARD AGAINST POSSIBLE FLOODING.
SWELLS GENERATED BY PETER COULD ALSO REACH THE COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING SURFS AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL LIKELY GO INTO EFFECT TONIGHT.
RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARD AND BVI SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 11 AM TODAY.
STAY TUNED TO UPDATES COMING OUT OF THE ABMS MET OFFICE VIA ANTIGUAMET.COM, HOTLINE: 463-4638, FACEBOOK.COM/ABMETSERVICE AND TWITTER.COM/ABMETSERVICE. ALSO, STAY TUNED TO ABS TV AND RADIO ALONG WITH OTHER MEDIA PLATFORMS FOR UPDATES.
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FORECASTER BERNELL SIMON
