ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 12:30 PM ECT MON, NOV 12, 2018
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THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from near the Lesser Antilles northeastward over the Tropical Atlantic for several hundred miles is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave and an upper-level trough of low pressure. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this disturbance have changed little in organization. However, environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive to allow for the potential development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week.
Notwithstanding, upper conditions over the leeward are expected to restrict cyclone development during the next 48 hours. The disturbance is expected to generate showers and some gusty conditions during its passage Monday night into Tuesday. We at the St. Kitts Met Office will continue to closely monitor this system and provide updated information as warranted.
RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.
FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS REMAINS….LOW…..50 PERCENT
FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS REMAINS…….HIGH……90 PERCENT
