WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:52 PM ECT TUE, SEP 17, 2019
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
…TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN…
AT 5 PM ECT OR 2100Z THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1109 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 1307 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES PER HOUR. A WEST NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE DEPRESSION WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT MOVES NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB OR 29.74INCHES.
BASED UPON THE LATEST POSITION AND ANALYSES, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN IS FORECAST TO PASS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.
AT THIS TIME, NO PARTICULAR ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS IN THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, OTHER THAN TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN AND REVIEW HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS, AS ANY FURTHER WESTWARD MOTION COULD BRING THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM CLOSER TO THE ISLANDS.
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER THESE MAY BECOME NECESSARY TOMORROW. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM ECT
FORECASTER
ORVIN PAIGE
